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Re: Kristine Bunch
Posted by: PMK140 (IP Logged)
Date: August 14, 2012 06:13AM

What you are talking about?

Not that your comment was anywhere on point or coherent.

Just exactly what about “bias” has John (assuming that you mean John Lentini) been trying to get into 921 for years without success?

Here is what John has been able to get into 921 about bias:

4.3.7 Avoid Presumption. Until data have been collected, no
specific hypothesis can be reasonably formed or tested. All investigations
of fire and explosion incidents should be approached
by the investigator without presumption as to origin, ignition sequence,
cause, fire spread, or responsibility for the incident until
the use of scientific method has yielded testable hypotheses,
which cannot be disproved by rigorous testing.

4.3.8 Expectation Bias. Expectation bias is a well-established
phenomenon that occurs in scientific analysis when investigator(
s) reach a premature conclusion without having examined
or considered all of the relevant data. Instead of collecting
and examining all of the data in a logical and unbiased
manner to reach a scientifically reliable conclusion, the investigator(
s) uses the premature determination to dictate investigative
processes, analyses, and, ultimately, conclusions, in a
way that is not scientifically valid. The introduction of expectation
bias into the investigation results in the use of only that
data that supports this previously formed conclusion and often
results in the misinterpretation and/or the discarding of
data that does not support the original opinion. Investigators
are strongly cautioned to avoid expectation bias through
proper use of the scientific method.

4.3.9* Confirmation Bias. Different hypotheses may be compatible
with the same data. When using the scientific method,
testing of hypotheses should be designed to disprove the hypothesis.
Confirmation bias occurs when the investigator instead
tries to prove the hypothesis. This can result in failure to
consider alternate hypotheses. A hypothesis can be said to be
valid only when rigorous testing has failed to disprove the hypothesis.

Pat Kennedy, CFEI, CFPS, MIFireE
Fire and Explosion Analyst
Sarasota, Florida
[www.kennedy-fire.com]



Subject Views Written By Posted
  Kristine Bunch 3601 John J. Lentini, CFEI 08/11/2012 04:02PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1552 Mark Goodson 08/12/2012 06:07AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1436 dcarpenter 08/12/2012 08:05AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1450 PMK140 08/12/2012 09:48AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1461 dcarpenter 08/12/2012 10:12AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1446 Mark Goodson 08/12/2012 10:21AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1409 dcarpenter 08/13/2012 09:53AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1316 arsnman4 08/15/2012 02:50PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1290 arsnman4 08/15/2012 02:54PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1080 dcarpenter 12/23/2016 11:55AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1402 PMK140 08/12/2012 10:31AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1370 dcarpenter 08/13/2012 10:54AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1287 dcarpenter 08/13/2012 11:39AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1360 dcarpenter 08/13/2012 01:43PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1268 dcarpenter 08/13/2012 01:51PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1330 dcarpenter 08/13/2012 01:59PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1216 Fire 08/13/2012 08:20PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1293 PMK140 08/14/2012 06:13AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1317 Fire 08/14/2012 11:13AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1293 PMK140 08/14/2012 11:34AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1325 Fire 08/15/2012 01:28PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1401 Mark Goodson 08/12/2012 01:37PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1376 dcarpenter 08/13/2012 10:17AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1376 rjschaal 08/12/2012 06:53PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1304 dcarpenter 08/13/2012 10:56AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 2332 dcarpenter 08/13/2012 02:43PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1206 Sir Gary 08/13/2012 02:58PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1354 PMK140 08/13/2012 06:20PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1339 John J. Lentini, CFEI 08/13/2012 06:38PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1210 PMK140 08/13/2012 06:49PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1290 John J. Lentini, CFEI 08/13/2012 10:17PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1289 Gerald Hurst 08/14/2012 12:24AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1233 dcarpenter 08/14/2012 07:25AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1301 PMK140 08/14/2012 09:23AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1242 dcarpenter 08/14/2012 01:11PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1289 jkevn 08/14/2012 03:53PM
  Re: ISFI 2012 Presentation Invitation 1325 PMK140 08/15/2012 12:57PM
  Re: ISFI 2012 Presentation Invitation 1392 dcarpenter 08/16/2012 11:54AM
  Re: ISFI 2012 Presentation Invitation 1247 PMK140 08/16/2012 12:52PM
  Re: ISFI 2012 Presentation Invitation 1268 PMK140 08/16/2012 04:21PM
  Re: ISFI 2012 Presentation Invitation 1312 dcarpenter 08/16/2012 04:41PM
  Re: ISFI 2012 Presentation Invitation 1237 PMK140 08/16/2012 06:12PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1207 arsnman4 08/16/2012 10:41AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1425 dcarpenter 08/17/2012 09:59AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1205 Joe M. Ellington 10/02/2012 10:57PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1358 Anonymous User 08/12/2012 09:54AM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1208 dcarpenter 08/13/2012 01:33PM
  Re: Kristine Bunch 1494 John J. Lentini, CFEI 08/22/2012 08:33PM


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