Here is were you have the right to believe what you want to believe but your belief does not make what I said wrong in general, only to you.

You say the words “consider” and “formulate” where not there by chance. You may be right but were you part of the discussion to use those word in the location and with the meaning you suggest. I have not discussed it with anyone on the committee, so I cannot validate or disprove the validity of your comment.

Do you agree with the Multiple Working Hypotheses methodology you posted?

By paraphrasing the word of Chamberlain some important factors are not being represented. His discussion was on the use of one or multiple hypotheses when starting your inquiry. What he was communicating was the best of the two methods is the multiple hypotheses method. It was his belief that there was a greater chance of bias influencing the results if one were to use the single hypothesis method. What he was trying to show was how by using the multiple methods one can reduce the number of hypotheses to those original tests. Then he takes the remaining hypotheses and puts them into an order of probability. At this point the person or others can develop an additional plan to further test the hypothesis. They say how a single test designed for the specific hypothesis. I could not find where he ever said the final answer is based on more than one hypothesis.

Be this what it is, it is still my belief if you have more that one hypothesis that has not been disproven you do not know the answer and are only speculating.

I see no way at this time of bringing us together on this topic.

Jim Mazerat
Forensic Investigations Group