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Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators
Posted by: dcarpenter (IP Logged)
Date: October 30, 2020 02:58PM

" 'Totality of the Evidence' has always been the fallback position of people relying on bad science."

I have been involved in many fire incidents that use this phase to help diffuse having to provide specific details on what evidence was used in the application of the Scientific Method for origin determination or fire cause. I have not previously seen it used to obscure the use of a number of unreliable indicators to support a determination of the origin of the fire. The use of this specific methodology was new to me.

If this specific (unreliable) methodology is more wide spread in its use to try and defend an unreliable determination, it would suggest that it is not organic in its inception and use by individual fire investigators. It seems to be more systematic in nature and might suggest that this was put fourth in previous or current training as a means to help fire investigators over the reliability hurdle.

Douglas J. Carpenter, MScFPE, CFEI, PE, FSFPE
Vice President & Principal Engineer
Combustion Science & Engineering, Inc.
8940 Old Annapolis Road, Suite L
Columbia, MD 21045
(410) 884-3266
(410) 884-3267 (fax)
www.csefire.com



Subject Views Written By Posted
  Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 858 dcarpenter 10/29/2020 03:16PM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 536 John Lentini 10/30/2020 09:59AM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 562 dcarpenter 10/30/2020 02:58PM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 556 Chris Bloom, CJBFireConsultant 11/02/2020 07:50PM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 496 dcarpenter 11/06/2020 12:48PM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 448 Chris Bloom, CJBFireConsultant 11/07/2020 02:10AM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 450 dcarpenter 11/08/2020 07:33PM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 443 Chris Bloom, CJBFireConsultant 11/09/2020 11:45AM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 474 J L Mazerat 11/07/2020 09:21AM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 485 J L Mazerat 11/07/2020 09:55AM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 441 Chris Bloom, CJBFireConsultant 11/07/2020 03:55PM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 445 J L Mazerat 11/08/2020 12:24PM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 479 Chris Bloom, CJBFireConsultant 11/09/2020 11:53AM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 425 J L Mazerat 11/10/2020 01:45PM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 428 Chris Bloom, CJBFireConsultant 11/12/2020 01:13PM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 488 dcarpenter 11/08/2020 07:34PM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 444 J L Mazerat 11/07/2020 10:02AM
  Re: Compiling of Unreliable Indicators 474 Chris Bloom, CJBFireConsultant 11/07/2020 03:57PM


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