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Re: 921 & arson
Posted by: dcarpenter (IP Logged)
Date: April 01, 2022 09:17AM

"What I am trying to say is the process to prove a hypothesis to be more than likely correct is the falsification process."

You can never "prove a hypothesis." One can only disprove.

"The ability to disprove all hypotheses but one to be false is the proof of that one hypothesis being correct based on the testing process and knowledge of the person conducting the testing."

That is only one of the four possible outcomes of the application of the SM. Go back and reread those four conditions I previously posted.

"This is not to say that the hypothesis is correct or that additional information from others my prove it to be false. If no others or additional information disproves the hypothesis on is to assume it is correct. Is that not what we are representing to the court. What I was saying is that a good or correct scientific hypothesis is one that cannot be proven false."

Not correct. Most reliable. This is falsification.

"We could say that is we cannot disprove the hypothesis the the correctness of that hypothesis is beyond what science can offer."

Not sure I understand your statement. Science offers a compilation of reliable knowledge that can be applied using the SM.

"By saying one can only prove a hypothesis to be false and never be able to say it is correct is to say in our profession we can never provide a correct answer as to the cause of a fire to the court. If we cannot do this simple task, why are we a profession? What good are we?"

It is "science" that can not do it. We are using "science" and the SM. It has its limitations. You need to understand those limitations. Reliable determinations are of great value.

Douglas J. Carpenter, MScFPE, CFEI, PE, FSFPE
Vice President & Principal Engineer
Combustion Science & Engineering, Inc.
8940 Old Annapolis Road, Suite L
Columbia, MD 21045
(410) 884-3266
(410) 884-3267 (fax)
www.csefire.com



Subject Views Written By Posted
  921 & arson 492 rdzimm 03/24/2022 06:43PM
  Re: 921 & arson 292 J L Mazerat 03/25/2022 12:15PM
  Re: 921 & arson 274 rdzimm 03/25/2022 02:01PM
  Re: 921 & arson 277 J L Mazerat 03/26/2022 08:37AM
  Re: 921 & arson 267 rdzimm 03/27/2022 12:33AM
  Re: 921 & arson 270 J L Mazerat 03/27/2022 09:36AM
  Re: 921 & arson 307 J L Mazerat 03/27/2022 10:05AM
  Re: 921 & arson 258 rdzimm 03/27/2022 07:11PM
  Re: 921 & arson 258 rdzimm 03/28/2022 11:00AM
  Re: 921 & arson 316 dcarpenter 03/29/2022 08:21AM
  Re: 921 & arson 258 dcarpenter 03/29/2022 08:30AM
  Re: 921 & arson 239 rdzimm 04/01/2022 07:44PM
  Re: 921 & arson 245 J L Mazerat 04/02/2022 09:43AM
  Re: 921 & arson 245 rdzimm 04/02/2022 04:18PM
  Re: 921 & arson 266 J L Mazerat 03/29/2022 01:57PM
  Re: 921 & arson 262 dcarpenter 03/29/2022 03:42PM
  Re: 921 & arson 252 dcarpenter 03/29/2022 03:49PM
  Re: 921 & arson 249 J L Mazerat 03/30/2022 07:45AM
  Re: 921 & arson 249 dcarpenter 03/30/2022 08:57AM
  Re: 921 & arson 249 J L Mazerat 03/30/2022 05:23PM
  Re: 921 & arson 243 dcarpenter 03/30/2022 10:33PM
  Re: 921 & arson 248 J L Mazerat 03/31/2022 08:32AM
  Re: 921 & arson 233 dcarpenter 04/01/2022 09:03AM
  Re: 921 & arson 256 J L Mazerat 04/01/2022 09:49AM
  Re: 921 & arson 248 dcarpenter 04/01/2022 11:21AM
  Re: 921 & arson 245 J L Mazerat 04/01/2022 03:30PM
  Re: 921 & arson 230 dcarpenter 04/03/2022 04:35PM
  Re: 921 & arson 234 J L Mazerat 04/03/2022 05:34PM
  Re: 921 & arson 235 dcarpenter 04/04/2022 01:18PM
  Re: 921 & arson 234 J L Mazerat 04/04/2022 03:26PM
  Re: 921 & arson 241 J L Mazerat 04/04/2022 05:27PM
  Re: 921 & arson 238 J L Mazerat 04/04/2022 06:55PM
  Re: 921 & arson 231 John Lentini 04/07/2022 12:59PM
  Re: 921 & arson 250 J L Mazerat 03/30/2022 07:35AM
  Re: 921 & arson 247 dcarpenter 03/30/2022 08:36AM
  Re: 921 & arson 237 J L Mazerat 03/30/2022 08:06PM
  Re: 921 & arson 236 dcarpenter 03/30/2022 10:48PM
  Re: 921 & arson 244 J L Mazerat 03/30/2022 08:14PM
  Re: 921 & arson 243 dcarpenter 03/30/2022 10:58PM
  Re: 921 & arson 246 J L Mazerat 03/31/2022 08:04AM
  Re: 921 & arson 242 dcarpenter 04/01/2022 09:17AM
  Re: 921 & arson 244 J L Mazerat 04/01/2022 10:17AM
  Re: 921 & arson 269 dcarpenter 04/01/2022 02:15PM
  Re: 921 & arson 244 J L Mazerat 04/01/2022 03:49PM
  Re: 921 & arson 236 dcarpenter 04/03/2022 04:39PM
  Re: 921 & arson 224 J L Mazerat 04/03/2022 05:54PM
  Re: 921 & arson 240 rdzimm 04/03/2022 09:16PM
  Re: 921 & arson 239 J L Mazerat 04/04/2022 07:46AM
  Re: 921 & arson 236 rdzimm 04/04/2022 08:32AM
  Re: 921 & arson 235 dcarpenter 04/04/2022 01:23PM
  Re: 921 & arson 235 J L Mazerat 04/04/2022 03:36PM
  Re: 921 & arson 241 dcarpenter 04/04/2022 07:12PM
  Re: 921 & arson 250 J L Mazerat 04/05/2022 10:03AM
  Re: 921 & arson 291 rdzimm 04/01/2022 07:39PM
  Re: 921 & arson 241 J L Mazerat 04/02/2022 11:37AM
  Re: 921 & arson 249 rdzimm 04/02/2022 04:57PM
  Re: 921 & arson 247 J L Mazerat 04/02/2022 05:59PM
  Re: 921 & arson 246 rdzimm 04/03/2022 10:25AM
  Re: 921 & arson 242 rdzimm 04/06/2022 11:31PM


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