The process of elimination is part of the scientific method. The process of eliminating is the elimination of different hypotheses by proving them to be false. The known outcomes are the hypotheses proven to be false.

Is not the best conclusion the one that is correct? The definition of best is excelling all other. Are you saying the remaining hypothesis, after all others have been proved to be false, is the best one?

If one identifies all the fuel packages in the area where ignition took place, then compares those packages to the identified ignition source then one can say any of the fuels identified were potential first fuel ignited. This way there is not the need to specifically identify the first fuel. Here you are identifying a fire cause without identifying the first fuel.

Jim Mazerat
Forensic Investigations Group