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Re: Scientific Certainty: There is no such an animal
Posted by: J L Mazerat (IP Logged)
Date: October 02, 2022 04:52PM

I am not arguing that any organization has the right to dictate to their organization the procedures to be used. I am not arguing about their justification, that is their right.

I disagree that the words have no meaning, as I have shown.

Making statements with no supporting documentation is something I thought we want to get away from doing. When it is said it may be misleading, what is that based on. Has there been any scientific testing as to the use of the term? What accepted studies have been done to support this conclusion? Are we making changes just because several people believe it may be misleading without proof that it is misleading.

I see not supporting documentation from the National Commission on Forensic Science that supports the contention of the wording being misleading. How many people are involved in fire investigations? What is the percentage of the total fire investigation is on this committee? At this time this is nothing more than a opinion of several individuals without support.

I agree there is no precise definition for the combination of words, but when you define the words individually there is a definition. A reasonable degree of scientific certainty equivalates to sufficient grounds of explanation based to the extent that this conclusion is reached by using a systemic method that is based on the evidence. A long sentence saying the same thing. I have no problem using this longer sentence if it is believed that it would elevate any confusion.

As to what a lay person will understand during a trial, it is up to the attorney and the witness to educate that person. Is that not what we are doing as experts educating the lay person in areas where he may not have knowledge.

Tell me what is the appropriate wording that is recommended by OSAC and NIST that should be used by the expert. Here OSAC is saying stop using this wording but has not furnished appropriate word. I guess they are saying do not use anything in an explanation.

What is the judge and jury looking for from the expert? It is the “certainty” of that person as to his opinion being correct. So, the key word is not Reasonable, Degree, or Scientific. It is the word Certainty. Reasonable, degree, and scientific are nothing more than descriptive word for the main word certainty. What you are doing is the same. Reasonable, degree and professional are descriptive words for certainty.

Do you have a site that defines Reasonable degree of professional certainty?

I was once asked as to what I meant when I used the term to a reasonable degree of scientific certainty. I had read something that gave me my answer. The answer was, I found clear and convincing evidence for my opinion. The attorney asking the question changed subjects.

Jim Mazerat
Forensic Investigations Group



Subject Views Written By Posted
  Scientific Certainty 600 J L Mazerat 10/02/2022 02:25PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty: There is no such an animal 458 John Lentini 10/02/2022 03:52PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty: There is no such an animal 313 J L Mazerat 10/02/2022 04:52PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty: There is no such an animal 269 J L Mazerat 10/08/2022 10:21AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty: There is no such an animal 280 J L Mazerat 10/14/2022 03:24PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 266 J L Mazerat 10/07/2022 11:03AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 299 dcarpenter 10/11/2022 12:46PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 262 J L Mazerat 10/14/2022 09:49AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 243 dcarpenter 10/17/2022 09:53AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 231 J L Mazerat 10/25/2022 09:02AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 232 dcarpenter 10/25/2022 02:38PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 217 J L Mazerat 10/25/2022 08:31PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 237 dcarpenter 10/26/2022 09:44AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 217 J L Mazerat 10/26/2022 11:11AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 228 dcarpenter 10/29/2022 04:41AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 217 J L Mazerat 10/29/2022 08:36AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 208 dcarpenter 11/03/2022 09:42AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 247 J L Mazerat 11/03/2022 06:37PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 212 dcarpenter 11/04/2022 08:33AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 256 J L Mazerat 11/05/2022 06:15PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 215 dcarpenter 11/07/2022 01:19PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 225 CJN 11/07/2022 03:56PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 217 dcarpenter 11/07/2022 04:29PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 217 CJN 11/07/2022 05:36PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 217 dcarpenter 11/09/2022 11:03AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 249 J L Mazerat 11/10/2022 09:36AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 211 J L Mazerat 11/07/2022 06:20PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 205 dcarpenter 11/09/2022 10:20AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 208 J L Mazerat 11/09/2022 08:33PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 205 dcarpenter 11/10/2022 09:03AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 210 J L Mazerat 11/10/2022 01:12PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 221 dcarpenter 11/10/2022 01:55PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 212 J L Mazerat 11/11/2022 09:00AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 218 J L Mazerat 11/29/2022 09:30AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 233 Rsuninv 10/26/2022 11:38AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 224 J L Mazerat 10/26/2022 01:17PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 216 J L Mazerat 10/26/2022 02:50PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 208 J L Mazerat 10/27/2022 09:06AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 215 J L Mazerat 10/29/2022 09:51AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 277 John Lentini 10/15/2022 01:18PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 236 J L Mazerat 10/15/2022 05:44PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 232 John Lentini 10/31/2022 02:23PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 219 J L Mazerat 10/31/2022 04:33PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 242 Fire 11/08/2022 09:47AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 236 J L Mazerat 11/26/2022 09:33AM


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