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Re: Scientific Certainty
Posted by: dcarpenter (IP Logged)
Date: November 09, 2022 11:03AM

"Yes, reliability should have been dealt with by the judge already. But if two experts appear in front of the jury, and only one uses this phrase, the concern is that the jury takes the statement as proof that that expert's testimony should hold more weight."

Practically speaking, the conditional assumption that one expert would use this statement to stand behind and would never be challenged. In that case, someone was not doing their job. What does it say when an expert does not acknowledge this statement? How does an expert provide a reliable explanation to the question from the judge or opposing attorney as to if their determination is being held to a "reasonable degree of scientific certainty?" Would the answer be "I hold no scientific certainty to my analysis and determinations because there is no such thing?"

"The phrase shouldn't be a requirement because it has no legal definition, nor has a method been developed or defined to determine how to determine the level of certainty or what is acceptable or reasonable. It should not be taken as proof that an expert has used the scientific method just because they said so or because they used this phrase. The expert's report and testimony should demonstrate how they followed the scientific method and arrived at their conclusions given the available data."

There is no quantitative measure of the level of certainty, but there can be a qualitative measure of the level of certainty. A "reasonable degree" is the qualitative measure.

This is issue is really speaking to Daubert and the application of a reliable methodology, so there is a process to assess the level of certainty based on reliability.

Use it, don't use it, but either way, one may have to address this issue. Again, what will be the answer to the question of "do you hold your opinions to a reasonable degree of scientific certainty?" "Yes," please explain ... "No, ...?

I disagree with the current position that there is no meaning and no value to this statement. It either tells the judge you are a professional and have used a reliable methodology to reach reliable determinations. If the judge understands this, then the judge can adequately challenge your methodology. For those judges who are ignorant, you are providing them with the standard of care for challenging all experts in the case.

Douglas J. Carpenter, MScFPE, CFEI, PE, FSFPE
Vice President & Principal Engineer
Combustion Science & Engineering, Inc.
8940 Old Annapolis Road, Suite L
Columbia, MD 21045
(410) 884-3266
(410) 884-3267 (fax)
www.csefire.com



Subject Views Written By Posted
  Scientific Certainty 609 J L Mazerat 10/02/2022 02:25PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty: There is no such an animal 463 John Lentini 10/02/2022 03:52PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty: There is no such an animal 319 J L Mazerat 10/02/2022 04:52PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty: There is no such an animal 272 J L Mazerat 10/08/2022 10:21AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty: There is no such an animal 286 J L Mazerat 10/14/2022 03:24PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 270 J L Mazerat 10/07/2022 11:03AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 303 dcarpenter 10/11/2022 12:46PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 269 J L Mazerat 10/14/2022 09:49AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 249 dcarpenter 10/17/2022 09:53AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 239 J L Mazerat 10/25/2022 09:02AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 238 dcarpenter 10/25/2022 02:38PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 226 J L Mazerat 10/25/2022 08:31PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 244 dcarpenter 10/26/2022 09:44AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 225 J L Mazerat 10/26/2022 11:11AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 236 dcarpenter 10/29/2022 04:41AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 223 J L Mazerat 10/29/2022 08:36AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 212 dcarpenter 11/03/2022 09:42AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 251 J L Mazerat 11/03/2022 06:37PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 217 dcarpenter 11/04/2022 08:33AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 263 J L Mazerat 11/05/2022 06:15PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 219 dcarpenter 11/07/2022 01:19PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 228 CJN 11/07/2022 03:56PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 221 dcarpenter 11/07/2022 04:29PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 222 CJN 11/07/2022 05:36PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 222 dcarpenter 11/09/2022 11:03AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 254 J L Mazerat 11/10/2022 09:36AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 215 J L Mazerat 11/07/2022 06:20PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 210 dcarpenter 11/09/2022 10:20AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 213 J L Mazerat 11/09/2022 08:33PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 210 dcarpenter 11/10/2022 09:03AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 216 J L Mazerat 11/10/2022 01:12PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 227 dcarpenter 11/10/2022 01:55PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 217 J L Mazerat 11/11/2022 09:00AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 222 J L Mazerat 11/29/2022 09:30AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 238 Rsuninv 10/26/2022 11:38AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 231 J L Mazerat 10/26/2022 01:17PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 223 J L Mazerat 10/26/2022 02:50PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 214 J L Mazerat 10/27/2022 09:06AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 222 J L Mazerat 10/29/2022 09:51AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 282 John Lentini 10/15/2022 01:18PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 241 J L Mazerat 10/15/2022 05:44PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 238 John Lentini 10/31/2022 02:23PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 226 J L Mazerat 10/31/2022 04:33PM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 246 Fire 11/08/2022 09:47AM
  Re: Scientific Certainty 241 J L Mazerat 11/26/2022 09:33AM


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