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Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty
Posted by: Jim Mazerat (IP Logged)
Date: February 08, 2007 11:55AM

I agree with having levels of confidence for one’s opinion, but believe if your opinion will directly affect another person anything below certain is not acceptable. I agree in civil cases the burden of proof is a preponderance of the evidence. I agree with what you say that this is the same as probable and is good for stats but not for affecting a person’s life in a civil or criminal proceeding. If you do not know for certain what cause the fire then your determination is based on subjective are speculative reasoning based on the known facts. If 921 states that subjective or speculative can not be included in the analysis of data collected to form a hypothesis, how then can there be any justification to using a subjective or speculative methodology for reaching a conclusion as to the cause?

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Subject Views Written By Posted
  Acceptable Level of Certainty 1671 Jim Mazerat 02/03/2007 09:47PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 1053 Jim Mazerat 02/04/2007 12:11PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 919 MIJ 02/04/2007 02:37PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 1090 Jim Mazerat 02/04/2007 05:12PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 1000 jmorse 02/04/2007 07:15PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 941 Jim Mazerat 02/05/2007 10:37AM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 1010 MIJ 02/05/2007 11:35AM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 949 jgmcfps 02/08/2007 11:09AM
  One more comment 948 jgmcfps 02/08/2007 11:13AM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 1035 Jim Mazerat 02/08/2007 11:55AM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 887 jgmcfps 02/08/2007 02:59PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 882 SJAvato 02/08/2007 03:59PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 1020 Jim Mazerat 02/08/2007 05:15PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 917 Jim Mazerat 02/08/2007 05:21PM
  Define "probable" 987 Gerald Hurst 02/14/2007 01:05PM
  Re: Define "probable" 1007 PMK140 02/14/2007 04:12PM
  Re: Define "probable" 947 Gerald Hurst 02/14/2007 10:20PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 951 jbflanigan 02/05/2007 04:22PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 886 Jim Mazerat 02/08/2007 12:13PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 855 MIJ 02/08/2007 06:02PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 983 Jim Mazerat 02/08/2007 08:10PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 954 MIJ 02/09/2007 09:47AM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 894 jgmcfps 02/09/2007 02:12PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 904 MIJ 02/09/2007 03:09PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 899 jgmcfps 02/09/2007 04:50PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 896 firecop5002 02/09/2007 08:17PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 873 Jim Mazerat 02/09/2007 10:01PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 826 dahebert 02/10/2007 08:12AM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 925 Jim Mazerat 02/09/2007 08:17PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 1047 jgmcfps 02/10/2007 02:40PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 877 Jim Mazerat 02/10/2007 04:36PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 1005 jgmcfps 02/11/2007 08:16AM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 968 Jim Mazerat 02/11/2007 09:10AM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 1170 John J. Lentini, CFEI 02/16/2007 02:48PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 1141 PMK140 02/16/2007 04:30PM
  Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty 973 Jim Mazerat 02/16/2007 07:11PM


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