A place to ask questions and add to probative and informative discussions associated with the various aspects of the field of fire investigation. -- FORUM RULES---BE CIVIL AND NO NAME CALLING, NO BELITTLING, NO BERATING, NO DENIGRATING others. Postings in violation of these rules can be removed or editted to remove the offending remarks at the discretion of the moderators and/or site administrator.
Re: Acceptable Level of Certainty
Posted by:
Jim Mazerat (IP Logged)
Date: February 08, 2007 05:21PM
What I am trying to say and may not be getting across is that if I have tested all my hypotheses and have disproved all but one, my level of confidence should be well above 50% that my conclusion is correct. If there are two hypotheses that have not been able to be disproved then I list both as possibilities.